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Re: Tagle for Pope

Posted by Pharmakon on 2025-May-7 01:20:27, Wednesday
In reply to Tagle for Pope posted by diogenes on 2025-May-6 09:17:59, Tuesday




I am also rooting for Tagle, for basically the same reasons.

The betting markets apparently think he is among the favorites, though not THE favorite.

As of Tuesday, Polymarket lists the following odds based on total trading volume of more than $17.6 million:

Pietro Parolin – 26 percent likelihood, with more than $1.1 million in bets.
Luis Antonio Tagle – 20 percent, with $1.26 million wagered.
Matteo Zuppi – 11 percent, with $837,000 in trading volume.
Pierbattista Pizzaballa – 9 percent, with $861,000 wagered.

These four candidates are the only ones with more than a 10 percent chance of winning, creating a clear tier of favorites going into the conclave. Other notable names such as Péter Erdő, Peter Turkson, and Jean-Marc Aveline remain in the single-digit range, suggesting a sharp drop-off in perceived viability beyond the top four.


hugzu ;-p


Pharmakon
  • (https site) Next Pope Update: Four Frontrunners Emerge as Conclave Starts (Newsweek)
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